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The state of the world economy, the USA, China, the disastrous war in Iraq, all have a direct effect on the situation in Britain. Some may find a contradiction in the fact that although Blair is very unpopular he will almost certainly win the elections. The fact is that there is no alternative. The workers of Britain have not forgotten what the Tories did when they were in power. But the undercurrents are already discernable and these will sooner or later come to the surface.